Shell’s profits drop 56% to $5 billion due to lower energy prices.

Shell's profits drop 56% to $5 billion due to lower energy prices.

Shell Reports a Dip in Second-Quarter Profits, Slowing Share Repurchase Program

Shell Headquarters

In a recent announcement, Shell revealed a 56% decrease in second-quarter profits, totaling $5 billion. This decline can be attributed to a fall in oil and gas prices, as well as a decrease in refining profit margins. As a consequence, the energy giant has decided to slow down its share repurchase program.

Despite falling short of forecasts, Shell’s earnings for the second quarter of this year are comparable to its performance two years ago. However, they pale in comparison to the record earnings of $11.5 billion in the same period last year and $9.65 billion in the first quarter of 2023.

Factors Influencing the Weaker Quarter

The dip in profits is mainly a result of several factors. Firstly, lower liquefied natural gas (LNG) trading results, lower oil and gas prices, lower refining margins, and lower sales volumes all contributed to the decline. Shell, being the world’s top LNG trader, experienced a significant reduction in earnings from this flagship division primarily due to a weaker performance of its trading division.

Oil and gas prices have been on a rollercoaster ride. In the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, prices experienced a surge last year. However, fears of shortages have since eased, leading to a drop in energy prices. In the second quarter of this year, benchmark Brent crude prices averaged $80 a barrel, a considerable decrease from the $110 seen a year earlier. Similarly, LNG prices dropped from around $33 to $11.75 per million British thermal units (mmBtu).

Plans for the Future

In June, Shell’s Chief Executive Officer Wael Sawan outlined plans to enhance shareholder returns and overall performance. These plans entail keeping oil output steady, pursuing growth in natural gas output, and reducing investments in lower-return renewable energy. As part of their commitment to shareholders, Shell is dedicated to prioritizing share buybacks, recognizing the significant value their shares represent.

Shell aims to repurchase $3 billion in shares over the next three months, down from the previous quarter’s repurchase of $3.6 billion. Additionally, the company has raised its dividend to $0.33 per share, as previously announced in June. Looking ahead, Shell intends to announce buybacks of at least $2.5 billion in its third-quarter results.

Analysts’ Views and Market Reaction

Despite the positive actions taken by Shell, analysts at Jefferies expressed disappointment with the company’s second-quarter performance. They cited lower-than-expected earnings from the upstream and chemicals divisions, as well as weaker third-quarter guidance. Similar profit declines were reported by French rival TotalEnergies and Norway’s Equinor.

In response to the news, Shell’s shares experienced a 1.7% decline by 0730 GMT, while the broader European energy index saw a 1% decline.

Chart: Shell Profits

Reducing Debt

Shell has made progress in reducing its debt. By the end of the second quarter, the company had cut its debt pile to $40.3 billion, down from $44.2 billion three months earlier. This decrease in debt has also resulted in an improvement of Shell’s debt-to-capital ratio, known as gearing, which now stands at 17%.

Overall, while Shell’s second-quarter profits may have fallen short of expectations, the company’s commitment to shareholder value through share buybacks and dividend increases remains strong. As the energy industry continues to evolve, Shell’s strategic focus on oil and natural gas, alongside efforts to manage debt and enhance performance, will be crucial in navigating the future market landscape.